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Relic Odds & Currency Efficiency

Lililira

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Hello everyone, I'm back from my hiatus! I came back a few weeks ago just a few days before 4.10 was released, and have been trying to get back into the swing of things since then. I bought the discounted Hyper pack and tracked all my numbers from that (and a few extra 10+1 Robo relics too), as well as all the Silvers, Golds, and single Diamond I've gotten since my return so here are the numbers from that:

TotalShiniesCalculated Odds
Bronze13910.72%
Silver6200%
Gold1900%
Diamond100%
Total2211

Therefore, with these numbers added in the totals are as follows;

TotalShiniesCalculated Odds
Bronze2353110.47%
Silver88591.02%
Gold55581.44%
Diamond7100%
Total386428


(I did also get a shiny Hellcat from the CoC, but I don't feel like I can accurately add her in, since I haven't been tracking CoC bronzes, and choosing to report a data point only because it had a shiny in it is one of the things that could really skew the data towards being inaccurately high.)


Still no shiny Diamonds on record, huh? We'll get one eventually, I hope. I've still got all the relics I've been saving since before my hiatus, so maybe once Umbrella is added into those and I can finally open them we'll get something.
 
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Disasterrr19

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Welcome back, @Lililira!

choosing to report a data point only because it had a shiny in it is one of the things that could really skew the data towards being inaccurately high.
Amen to that from a professional statistician!

I think you did not add last datapoint from @Dusty00 - 2 Golds, 1 of them Shiny.
 
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Lililira

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Will do! I must've missed it before, my bad. Adding it in changes the shiny gold numbers to 9 in 557, with the odds being 1.62%.
 

Dusty00

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Just remember RNG is RNG. Chaco got a shiny demon diamond from the first three ornamental relics. JMS maxed a level 60 Shiny Blitz and Glamour (PA lv100, lv60) on the first day - probably dropped $400+.
 

Codlugarthia

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I remember pulling my Shiny Fly because it came back to back with a regular Xbot from a 2 premier relic opening. That kind of luck is hard to repeat. I think I took a screenshot of the chat comments afterwards!! However since I wasn't tracking relic openings I'm afraid it's of limited use here.
 
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Nefelibata

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I dont understand the relic odds. It should be changed to something like every time you open a relic chances of getting a fighter of particular class should go up. How much percent the chances go up for each class should also depend upon type of relic. Getting a fighter of particular class should reduce the chances of that class. Coz now i only get silvers in ornamental, bronze in premiere.
 

Disasterrr19

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Disasterrr19 reporting, new big pull:

D - 0 / 5
G - 2 / 43
S - 0 / 104
B - 2 / 304

Total data:


TotalShiniesCalculated Odds
Bronze2657130.49%
Silver98990.91%
Gold600111.83%
Diamond7600.00%
Total4322330.76%

Still no Shiny Diamonds? The last time I pulled one was in July 2020...
 
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Dusty00

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Opened a batch today

premier 0/15
Elemental 0/15
Character 0/58
Silver 1/62
Jackpot 0/1
Legendary 0/1
 

Disasterrr19

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Opened a batch today

premier 0/15
Elemental 0/15
Character 0/58
Silver 1/62
Jackpot 0/1
Legendary 0/1
Did you by any chance track Bronze/Silver/Gold/Diamond pulls?

I was going to add more data based on my recent pulls and the opening vids on YouTube, but due to the recent events I did not feel like I had any strength or willingness to do that. Maybe later...
 

Dusty00

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Did you by any chance track Bronze/Silver/Gold/Diamond pulls?

I was going to add more data based on my recent pulls and the opening vids on YouTube, but due to the recent events I did not feel like I had any strength or willingness to do that. Maybe later...
I only opened silvers this time. Saving gold and diamonds for Umbrella.
 

evilgordo

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I only opened silvers this time. Saving gold and diamonds for Umbrella.
Totally get saving for Umbrella. Can't wait!
But, I think Disasterrr is looking for all the rarities from the non-silver relics you pulled. Since the percentages for shinies are variable based on rarity. Without the rarities recorded, the data is incomplete.

Unfortunately, I have no data to contribute at this time...my climb to 10k relics is almost over and then I might start opening...But after 2 years, I finally got not 1 but 2 shinies about a week a part. Both gold, both from PF emails (go figure, looking for evo fodder and end up with a shiny...)
 
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Dusty00

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Totally get saving for Umbrella. Can't wait!
But, I think Disasterrr is looking for all the rarities from the non-silver relics you pulled. Since the percentages for shinies are variable based on rarity. Without the rarities recorded, the data is incomplete.

Unfortunately, I have no data to contribute at this time...my climb to 10k relics is almost over and then I might start opening...But after 2 years, I finally got not 1 but 2 shinies about a week a part. Both gold, both from PF emails (go figure, looking for evo fodder and end up with a shiny...)
Nope, wasn’t tracking the rarity. At this point my guess at the rate is:

Bronze: 0.5%
Silver: 1%
Gold: 2%
Diamond: 4 or 5%

I know diamond doesn’t match the data here but just from how frequent people post in Discord and based on the vague description from devs that’s my conclusion.
 

Disasterrr19

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I only opened silvers this time. Saving gold and diamonds for Umbrella.
OK, then I will add the data on silvers only. Thanks!

my climb to 10k relics is almost over and then I might start opening...
Can't wait, that would be a major contribution! Please-please-please, keep tracks of your pulls (please)!
 
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Disasterrr19

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@Lililira is this thread still active? Do you still need relic stats?
Cause I've collected about 185+ relics
I'm not @Lililira, but I will reply to you, pal: yes, it is still active, your contribution would be more than welcome!

I have collected data from more than 600 pulls myself but did not have enough time to post it, will do soon. It was not a lucky pull though, only 2 Bronze Shinies...
 

Art3mes

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I'm not @Lililira, but I will reply to you, pal: yes, it is still active, your contribution would be more than welcome!

I have collected data from more than 600 pulls myself but did not have enough time to post it, will do soon. It was not a lucky pull though, only 2 Bronze Shinies...
Thanks, mate. Got it

I'll post'em soon : )

But only 2 shinies out of 600 relics : (
 
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Art3mes

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Total Relic Count: 250


Elemental RElicsTotalBronzeSilverGoldDiamond
Fire
Water33
Air11
Light11
Dark22


Character specific RelicsTotalBronzeSilverGoldDiamond
Annie761
Beowulf541
BigBand752
Cerebella55
Double1064
Eliza77
Filia1313
Fukua981
Ms.Fortune431
Painwheel761
Parasol44
Peacock55
Robo Fortune33
Squigly871
Valentine33


RelicsTotalBronzeSilverGoldDiamond
Shamrock66
Bandera

Blossom
3

7


3

6


1
Premier

Premier 10+1
80

1
61

7
9

4
2

1

Peckish Premier

Jackpot
3

3
2

1

3
Bronze specific3131
Silver specific816
Gold specific44
Diamond specific11


Unique variants i got:

Phantom Threads
Star Shine
High Ruler
Vector Protector

Current Catalogue status: 152/190

No shinies
489716426693935114.gif
 
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